By Tim Nasson
The 2020 Oscar Predictions are here.
By the time the 2020 Oscars roll around on Sunday, February 9, 2020, this list will have been updated at least a half dozen times. Until the 2020 Oscars ceremony, let’s have some fun predicting which stars, directors and movies will take home awards. We are only concentrating on the Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress and Best Director Oscars.
September 17, 2019 – with this first list of predictions leading up to the 2020 Academy Awards, I have seen only Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. As of today, that is my favorite movie of 2019 and will, without a doubt, earn a plethora of Oscar nominations, including Best Picture. As the weeks and months go by, and I have seen everything eligible for not only Oscars, but Best of Lists, as well, expect a lot of edits in each category.
The biggest question of all is how will Netflix’s more than 10 films eligible for Oscar nominations fare?
2020 Best Picture Oscar Nominee Predictions
Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Ford vs Ferrari
2020 Best Actor Oscar Nominee Predictions
Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Joaquin Phoenix – Joker
Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Edward Norton – Motherless Brooklyn
Willem Dafoe – The Lighthouse
2020 Best Actress Oscar Nominee Predictions
Alfre Woodard – Clemency
Saoirse Ronan – Little Women
Charlize Theron – Bombshell
Renee Zellweger – Judy
Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story
2020 Best Supporting Actor Oscar Nominee Predictions
Brad Pitt – Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Christian Bale – Ford vs Ferrari
Joe Pesci – The Irishman
Ian McKellen – The Good Liar
Sam Rockwell – JoJo Rabbit
2020 Best Supporting Actress Oscar Nominee Predictions
Meryl Streep – Little Women
Margot Robbie – Bombshell
Chloë Sevigny – Queen & Slim
Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey
Linda Hamilton – Terminator: Dark Fate
2020 Best Director Oscar Nominee Predictions
Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Greta Gerwig – Little Women
Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
Sam Mendes – 1917
Ang Lee – Gemini Man
It is highly doubtful, no matter how much money is spent on trying to buy an Oscar nomination for Jennifer Lopez, for Hustlers, that she will earn one. There is way too much competition. And Oscar voters generally avoid pop stars. Before Jennifer Lopez would receive a nomination, it would seem more likely that Nicole Kidman would for Bombshell, Lupita Nyong’o would for Us, Jodie Turner-Smith would for Queen & Slim, Helen Mirren would for The Good Liar, or Meryl Streep would for The Laundromat.
As for Best Actor. Ford vs Ferrari will most likely earn only one nomination for its talent, and not Matt Damon. Same for The Lighthouse. It is doubtful that Robert Pattinson will earn an Oscar nomination. Al Pacino and Robert DeNiro have been there done that, so unless The Irishman is a masterpiece, I don’t see them getting nominations (especially because the film is a Netflix release).
Best Picture and Best Director are really hard to predict as of today, because no one has seen Cats, Gemini Man, 1917, Bombshell, The Irishman, Little Women and virtually every other November and December theatrical release. That being said, I really think that Cats is going to end up in the litter box when it comes to virtually all major nominations, perhaps scoring a couple of technical nominations. Whether or not anyone cares about Sam Mendes’ WWI epic, 1917, remains to be seen. As for Ang Lee’s Gemini Man, having seen only the trailer, I find it doubtful Oscar voters will care enough to nominate it for Best Picture. If Ang Lee gets the cold shoulder, look for Noah Baumbach to take his spot for Marriage Story. Greta Gerwig was an Oscar darling for her very overrated Lady Bird. Her follow-up, Little Women, has been remade countless times, and her being able to bring anything new to the story is doubtful. Nonetheless, she is a female, and in this PC culture, she just may end up earning a Best Picture (and Best Director) nomination, no matter how good or bad the picture is.
Motherless Brooklyn could be an upset in every category.